T&
Trail & Error
96K subscribers · 83.5K median views
Solo Winter Camping at −40°
Five nights alone in the Yukon in the coldest week of the year, testing whether a hot tent can keep up.
“My cold-weather trips double my normal views. Getting there and staying safe is the expensive part.”
AI performance estimate
108.5K views expected
| Metric | Below expectationsBelow | As expectedExpected | Above expectationsAbove |
|---|---|---|---|
| Views | 72.3K | 108.5K | 140.7K |
| Video revenue | $326 | $488 | $633 |
| Pal pool (25%) | $81 | $122 | $158 |
Revenue assumes $4.50 RPM.
Cold-weather trips average about 1.5× the channel median.
"As expected" weights 7 comparable videos 65% and the channel's median 35%; the other two outcomes keep the channel's own spread. AI picks the comparables, code does the math.
Creator track record
Last 18 long-form uploads
Comparable videos Other uploads
Comparable previous videos
What the forecast leans on
Three Nights in a Snow Cave
134,420 views · 9d ago
Hot Tent Camping at -25°
170,357 views · 1mo ago
Winter Bushcraft Shelter Build
91,606 views · 2mo ago
Budget
Where $4,500 goes
- Flights & ground transport$1,400
- Cold-weather gear$1,200
- Safety & satellite comms$800
- Editing$1,100
Risks
What could go wrong
- Extreme cold may shorten the trip for safety.
Forecasts are estimates based on the creator's public channel data and an assumed RPM; they are not a promise of returns. Pals receive 25% of the project's eligible revenue for 12 months after publication, pro rata to their contribution. If it underperforms, Pals may receive less than they contributed.